Sports bets can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example. My partner and i analyzed the Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had often the edge in the match. Yet , My spouse and i also recognized that there have been a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this game. Here is my analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This video game has all the indicators of being one associated with the most effective games connected with the year, having both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from getting down big in the next 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

In the event that this video game were being played in the neutral field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, typically the extra benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that extra point might make the variation between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since January 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points each game in home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their very own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their very own oppositions by means of about thirty four points per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 items per activity at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats ended up developed during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve experienced recent games where they also have only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a good close game to phone. But what I look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. UFABET won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for the TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big they will may still win immediately after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this match, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they can put to better employ on future games.